How we work

Analytic standards

Vector follows structured analytic tradecraft. The standards below are the contract behind every assessment.

01
Source before claim

Every judgment traces to open, technical or human sourcing. Unsourced assertion is not analysis.

02
Calibrated confidence

We state likelihood explicitly — high / moderate / low — and distinguish it from the quality of underlying evidence.

03
Analysis of competing hypotheses

Alternatives are weighed against evidence, not the analyst’s prior. Dissent is recorded, not buried.

04
Indicators & warnings

Forecasts ship with observable indicators, so a reader can track whether a scenario is materialising.

05
OPSEC discipline

No locations, methods, active identities or operations. Every report is vetted before distribution.