Threat Assessment2026-07-11

Current Snapshot — 11.07.2026 05:00

Ukraine - Russian forces launched a ballistic strike on Kyiv (likely from Bryansk region). Explosions were recorded before the alarm; there are casualties and damage in several districts. - UAV activity in the suburbs of Kharkiv (Bezlyudivka, Borki) and near Odesa/Chornomorsk. Series of alarms and operational warnings. - Zelenskyy created a 'long-range influence command' within the Armed Forces of Ukraine...

**Ukraine**

- Russian forces launched a ballistic strike on Kyiv (likely from Bryansk region). Explosions were recorded before the alarm; there are casualties and damage in several districts. - UAV activity in the suburbs of Kharkiv (Bezlyudivka, Borki) and near Odesa/Chornomorsk. Series of alarms and operational warnings. - Zelenskyy created a 'long-range influence command on Russia' within the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Simultaneously, strikes on refineries deep inside Russia, including Omsk, were announced. - Russian hackers systematically compromise IP cameras on NATO logistics routes to track arms shipments.

**Russia**

- Ukrainian drones reached Omsk for the first time and struck the local refinery. Zelenskyy emphasized that no Russian refinery remains out of reach. - Russia continues cyber activity against NATO civilian infrastructure (surveillance cameras for military transport). - Increased activity noted in Kerch (according to monitoring channels).

**Europe**

- The Bundestag approved a reform of compulsory health insurance: increased co-payments for medicines and reduced hospital/pharmacy costs. - The European Commission warned Meta of a possible fine for the design of Instagram and Facebook that provokes addiction. - Germany and the EU continue to monitor cyber threats from Russia, including attacks on logistics chains.

**Global**

- The US demanded that Iran publicly commit within 24 hours not to attack ships in the Strait of Hormuz; negotiations resume in Oman. - Trump stated he left instructions in case of his death to strike Iran. - Large forest fire in southern Spain (Almería): at least 12 dead, 23 missing. - Crypto-billionaires promote concepts of 'new states' where voting directly depends on financial contribution.