Threat Assessment2026-09-12
Analytical Snapshot — 12.09.2026 14:13
12.09.2026: In Ukraine, intensification of strikes on logistics and ports. Odesa — 28 injured, including two children; Dnipro attacked three times in a day; strikes on Ukrzaliznytsia in Lutsk and Fastiv; Kerch is restless. Globally: Saudi Arabia closed a key oil pipeline after a drone attack from Iraq, Iraq dismissed a commander; oil risk is rising. Trump in Dublin called a united Ireland 'fantastic'. In Germany, AfD is on the rise, the attack in Leipzig is linked to Russian GRU. In Russia, MEPhI students are incentivized to vote. Winter for Ukraine promises to be the hardest: energy and transport under pressure.
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