Analytical Brief — 09.09.2026 11:36

On the 1,659th day of the war, the front and the rear have escalated in sync. Russia launched drone strikes on Kharkiv, Kyiv, and the Starokozache checkpoint on the Moldovan border: two Ukrainians were killed, a Moldovan citizen was wounded, and homes, a gas station, and warehouses were damaged. Ukraine hit a “Mongoose” boat in Sevastopol; there is “unrest” in Kerch; and four people, including a child, were killed in Novorossiysk. The Kremlin says there is no plan to end the war; Rubio speaks of a “roadmap” in the coming weeks. Brent oil broke through $100 after US strikes on Iranian tankers and the Houthis; the US–Canada tariff war is expanding. In Germany, the AfD won a state victory in Saxony-Anhalt, with Merz calling its “remigration” policy ethnic cleansing; Berlin is ready to share data about Ukrainian refugees with Kyiv. An avalanche in Kabardino-Balkaria claimed the lives of 13 Russian guardsmen.