Analytical Brief — 09.09.2026 14:13

The day is marked by an escalation of mutual strikes: Russian drones and aerial bombs hit Kyiv, Kharkiv, Odesa, and Kramatorsk, with civilian casualties; the Ukrainian side signals attacks on Kerch. Globally, Brent crude exceeded $100 for the first time since July amid U.S. strikes on Iranian tankers and Houthis, threatening a new round of inflation. The political crisis in Germany following the AfD's success is deepening, with Foreign Policy declaring the end of the postwar model. The U.S. is expanding its trade war with Canada, Serbia announces early elections. Russia is calling on reservists to intercept drones over Moscow. In Ukraine, the TCC scandal and corruption in the energy sector undermine internal stability. The day's vector is growing chaos and fragmentation.