Threat Assessment2026-09-18
Analytical Snapshot — 18.09.2026 14:10
France launches a plan to protect critical infrastructure from Russian hybrid attacks. Strikes continue on Kharkiv and Odesa, while the Ukrainian Armed Forces repel encirclement attempts in Donbas. Oil holds above $107, the 10Y-2Y spread stands at 0.27 pp, and markets show equity growth amid uncertainty. The US and China pursue parallel maneuvers in Iran and over Taiwan. The primary vector is realpolitik balancing of power amid growing pressure on infrastructure and energy resources.
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