Analytical Snapshot — 13.09.2026 14:13

Snapshot 13.09.2026 14:10 UTC. The war in Ukraine remains hot: Kharkiv region under KABs and UAVs, Odesa under strikes on logistics ('Nova poshta', Karolino-Bugaz), the Kyiv—Warsaw train damaged by a UAV near the Polish border. Kerch is uneasy, drones on Vinnytsia — both sides are expanding long-range strikes. US markets are up (S&P +0.85%), but WTI oil falls 2.2%, 10-year Treasury yield 4.95%, the dollar strengthens. Macro backdrop risky: financial conditions tightening amid high oil. Foreign Policy publishes a package of narratives: AfD, BRICS, US propaganda, Africa, 9/11, Bab-el-Mandeb. Information elites are repackaging the Western split and the Global South. Vector of the day: air escalation in the east; equity markets ignore geopolitics, but yields and oil provide an alarming backdrop.