Analytical Snapshot — 26.09.2026 14:11

The world is entering a phase of intensification: airspace violations in Moldova, strikes on the Odesa region and Kharkiv, and Iran’s declaration of refusal to make nuclear concessions. The macro backdrop is harsh: 10-year UST yields at 5.18%, WTI oil volatile (▼3.11% day-on-day at $96.4/barrel), VIX low (14.2) — markets are not pricing in tail risks. Trump’s actions during the diplomatic week revealed the limits of his influence. Key nodes: Moldova as a NATO test, Iranian nuclear escalation, the energy war in Ukraine, rising yields. Forecast: continued tension without immediate resolution.